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Applied predictive science has seen considerable advances in recent times, particularly in its reliability and the highly successful utility of its investigations. In contrast, the historical sciences, which explore narratives about pre-historic events and origins, have been the subject of intensive research but contain a disproportionate amount of debate and uncertainty. The differences between these scientific fields are what we wish to discuss.

Predictive/experimental science differs significantly from the historical sciences. The historical sciences make retrodictions, which are not predictions about the future, but rather they are narratives about the past. Because predictive science can run experiments, it can discover new regularities of nature, whereas a narrative about pre-historic events cannot discover new regularities of nature, it is just a narrative.  Thus, retrodictions are limited to applying only the established regularities of nature to form a narrative about pre-historic events.

Unfortunately, many scientists do not demonstrate how their narratives, which retrodict pre-historic or origins events, align with the established regularities of nature. This oversight leads to reduced reliability.

This has been allowed to happen because narratives about the past do not impact the safety or quality of human life in the present. Narratives about pre-historic events are not used in fields like Engineering or Medicine. Consequently, there is minimal incentive to produce reliable results beyond the pursuit of truth. This is distinctly different from predictive science, where the potential to cause harm to humans is a fundamental factor influencing how predictive science must be applied in a reliable way.

Interestingly, this means that historical science narratives can be completely wrong and still cause no harm to people.

At Pre-Historic.com, we aim to address this issue by encouraging researchers to demonstrate the theoretical alignment of their narratives with the established regularities of nature, thereby enhancing the accuracy and reliability of their accounts.